Radio is slowly losing the total time weekly people
devote to it, but the alternatives tend to be more in the area of video games,
the attraction of HDTV, as well as portable music devices, etc. The cume, or
weekly reach of radio, is at the same level as it was 40 years ago when
Arbitron started. And the weekly hours spent listening per person are only off
by less than 10% since 1952! Radio has not lost in upper income levels. Any erosion
is the product of there always having been 5% of the people who do not use
radio, and another 5 to 7 percent who use it little. These are the main
candidates for satellite. It’s not about income, it is about
satisfaction. Satellite, with 8 million subscribers, is mostly an in
car medium due to reception issues. That means that, on a national level, the
share potential of satellite today is about 0.3% of total listening. It is no
threat to terrestrial radio, today or in the immediate future. And when the
future comes, multipurpose broadband devices will kill satellite. Internet radio is attractive more to providers than to
listeners. One has the ability to cover the entire US with a minimal
investment, as opposed to $400 million for one FM in LA today. Until the needed
broadband devices appear, web radio is too fragmented to appeal to more than
very nice listening. And when it has potential, the content providers will be
radio companies. Internet, broadband and terrestrial have the same model,
which is ad supported. The successful ones in any area will be the ones that
are mass appeal and cut through the clutter. From:
irca-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:irca-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Kevin R. in
|
_______________________________________________ IRCA mailing list IRCA@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx http://arizona.hard-core-dx.com/mailman/listinfo/irca Opinions expressed in messages on this mailing list are those of the original contributors and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of the IRCA, its editors, publishing staff, or officers For more information: http://www.ircaonline.org To Post a message: irca@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx