[HCDX] SIDC Belgium Daily Space Weather Bulletin
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[HCDX] SIDC Belgium Daily Space Weather Bulletin
:Issued: 2003 Aug 13 1244 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)
SIDC URSIGRAM 30813
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 13 Aug 2003, 1230UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 13 Aug 2003 until 15 Aug 2003)
SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Warning condition
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Aug 2003 10CM FLUX: 118 / AP: 015
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Aug 2003 10CM FLUX: 121 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Aug 2003 10CM FLUX: 125 / AP: 010
COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions have evolved from active to quiet. The solar
wind speed has decayed to 600 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) is
pointing northwards with very short southward interruptions. For the next day
geomagnetic conditions should remain quiet. We expect several C-flares from
group 96 (NOAA 0431) which is still growing and from group 90 (NOAA 0424)
despite it is at the limb of the disk. There is also a chance for M-flares in
group 96.
SOLAR INDICES FOR 12 Aug 2003
SUNSPOT INDEX : 120
10CM SOLAR FLUX : 123
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 033
AK WINGST : 026
ESTIMATED AP : 027
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
73,
Thomas F. Giella
Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
C/S KN4LF
4208 Thackery Way
Plant City, FL, USA 33566
EL87WX
SWFWMD Rainfall Observer #574
NWS Tampa Bay, FL Skywarn Spotter #HIL-249
Florida Space & Atmospheric Weather Institute:
http://www.kn4lf.com/fsawi.htm
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive:
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF 160 Meter Amateur Radio Resources & More:
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf.htm
Friend Website Design Studio:
http://www.kn4lf.com
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