[IRCA] the small one?
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[IRCA] the small one?



Hmmm, sort of like weather forecasting.... now they're saying:

014-01-10 01:15 UTC  Modest Start to Geomagnetic Storm

The coronal mass ejection (CME) associated with the R3 (Strong) Solar Flare Radio Blackout event from January 7th is now affecting Earth but the resulting geomagnetic storm is off to a modest start, with no substantial storming occurring thus far. The initial structure of this CME has been relatively weak in strength, but that said, it generally takes on the order of 24 hours or more for the full event to transpire and stronger storming is certainly still possible. The ongoing Solar Radiation Storm, still just above the S2 (Moderate) threshold, continues it slow decay toward background levels. Additionally, Region 1944 is showing some signs of decay and no significant flaring has been observed in the last 48 hours. Stay tuned for updates.

Where's my K=7?

best wishes,

Nick


At 17:35 09-01-14, you wrote:
No sign of it yet, protons and Kp actually down and Asia conditions the best so far this week here. Is it just late or did it go somewhere else?

73, Mauno

9.1.2014 7:21, coffee_canuck kirjoitti:
Yup. This x-class has Earth dead in its sites. Strap yourself in people.

Sent from my iPhone

On 2014-01-08, at 8:51 PM, Nick Hall-Patch <nhp@xxxxxxxx> wrote:

big aurora on the way?
NOAA is predicting up to K-7 about 5 hours from now...from http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/


2014-01-09 00:03 UTC  S3 (Strong) Solar Radiation Storm In Progress

The ongoing S2 (Moderate) Solar Radiation Storm has intensified to an S3 (Strong) event as of 2320 UTC (6:20 p.m. EST) today, January 8. Protons should stay at this same approximate level for the next few hours, then likely take another jump with the passage of the shock ahead of the CME, expected to occur around 0900 UTC (4:00 a.m. EST) tomorrow, January 9. However, this increase is not expected to exceed the S3 level. The CME is forecast to set off G3 (Strong) Geomagnetic Storm activity through January 9 and 10. Aurora watchers should be ready; updates here as things unfold.
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