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Re: [IRCA] TA carriers

--- Begin Message --- 
 Hi Nick,
I believe I understand your ionospheric predictive methodology. It is possibly related to the superior conditions present when I was recently in a hotel room in downtown Victoria, followed by the subsequent downturn in conditions when I was in what I thought would be a superb TP DXing location in Tofino:-)
73,
Craig Barnes
    On Saturday, October 20, 2018, 9:49:42 AM MDT, Nick Hall-Patch <nhp@xxxxxxxx> wrote:  
 
 Neil = 1, NOAA = 0

(K= 0 as well, hi)

It should be a great evening for TAs coming 
up. My prediction is based on the fact that I 
will need to be out this evening....

best wishes,

Nick


At 11:07 2018-10-20, Mauno Ritola wrote:

>G1 storm warning was removed at 0000 UT and we 
>had quite good propagation from Finland to North 
>America. Now at 1200 Asia sounds surprisingly poor.
>
>Mauno
>
>
>Nick Hall-Patch kirjoitti 19.10.2018 klo 18:43:
>>So far, Neil's prediction service has been 
>>working far better than anything NOAA has been offering, hi.
>
>>Here's the 3-day prediction from NOAA
>
>
>>>NOAA Kp index forecast 19 Oct - 21 Oct
>>>Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ Oct 19Ã Ã ÃÂ Oct 20Ã Ã ÃÂ Oct 21
>>>00-03UTÃ Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 3Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 3Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2
>>>03-06UTÃ Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 3Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 3Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 3
>>>06-09UTÃ Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 3Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2
>>>09-12UTÃ Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2
>>>12-15UTÃ Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2
>>>15-18UTÃ Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 4Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2
>>>18-21UTÃ Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 5Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2
>>>21-00UTÃ Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 4Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã ÃÂ 2
>
>
>>Now, of course, anything might happen, but so 
>>far on the 18th and 19th, we have had the 
>>biggest run of K=0 in I don't know how long.
>
>>How is it done Neil?ÃÂ Entrails of a sheep? (of an HQ180?)
>
>>best wishes,
>
>>Nick
>
>
>
>>Ã Ã ÃÂ At 11:12 2018-10-19, Mauno Ritola wrote:
>>>This warning has been on since yesterday 1500 UTC:
>>>
>>>>Space weather for the next 24 hours is predicted to be minor.
>>>>Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are likely.
>>>
>>>73, Mauno
>>>
>>>
>>>Neil Kazaross kirjoitti 19.10.2018 klo 5:54:
>>>>A and K are low and forecast to remain so for a while. I need to set up for
>>>>TA's here tomorrow and to put Colin's Phaser thru a final test before I
>>>>send it back to Nick.
>>>>
>>>>73 KAZ still trying to eek out enough audio to ID a few more Aussies from
>>>>this wonderful morning in Barrington IL.
>>>>
>>>>On Thu, Oct 18, 2018 at 9:33 PM R. Colin Newell <coffeecanuck@xxxxxxxxx>
>>>>wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>No less than 35 carriers audible, 3-4 with audio... 0233 UTC
>>>>>
>>>>>Colin Newell - Victoria - B.C. CANADA -
>>>>>
>>>>>>On Oct 18, 2018, at 6:58 PM, Nigel Pimblett <nige2730@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Had Farda on 1575 with audio at 0150, and bits of audio also noted on
>>>>>864 a few minutes ago.
>>>>>>1413 has quite consistent audio.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>73,
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Nigel Pimblett
>>>>>>Dunmore, ABOn 10/18/2018 7:46 PM, R. Colin Newell wrote:
>>>>>>>Yup - a dozen carriers... 1089 being the best - although 1386 was
>>>>>shining bright briefly.
>>>>>>>Colin Newell - Victoria - B.C. CANADA -
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>On Oct 18, 2018, at 5:54 PM, Nick Hall-Patch <nhp@xxxxxxxx> wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>Weak TA carriers, mainly, it appears, from British transmitters,
>>>>>showing up at 0045UT, a half hour before our local sunset in Victoria.
>>>>>>>>best wishes,
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>Nick
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>Nick Hall-Patch
>>>>>>>>Victoria, BC
>>>>>>>>Canada
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>>Nick Hall-Patch
>>Victoria, BC
>>Canada _______________________________________________
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Nick Hall-Patch
Victoria, BC
Canada 

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