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[IRCA] NZ4O MF/HF/6M Radiowave Propagation Forecast #2012-19
- Subject: [IRCA] NZ4O MF/HF/6M Radiowave Propagation Forecast #2012-19
- From: "Thomas F. Giella" <thomasfgiella@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Thu, 3 May 2012 09:19:23 -0400
The NZ4O MF/HF/6M (600-6 Meters) Radiowave Propagation Forecast #2012-19 has
been published at 0000 UTC on Friday May 04, 2012, valid 0000 UTC Saturday
May 05, 2012 through 2359 UTC Friday May 11, 2012.
I'm disseminating the propagation forecast one day earlier than normal as I
will be out of town on Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
This condensed forecast can also be found on Facebook at
http://www.facebook.com/pages/SolarCycle24org/139198369462931
The complete MF/HF/6M forecast can be found at http://www.solarcycle24.org
and http://www.wcflunatall.com/propagation.htm .
Note! This forecast is based upon quiet solar, space and geomagnetic weather
conditions. Geomagnetic storming Kp-5> and energetic proton storms >10 MeV
(10+0) can at times render the forecast temporarily inaccurate.
FORECASTED NORTHERN HEMISPHERE GLOBAL HF CONDITIONS-
Low Latitude- Normal
Mid Latitude- Normal
High Latitude- Normal
FORECASTED SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE GLOBAL HF CONDITIONS-
Low Latitude- Normal
Mid Latitude- Normal
High Latitude- Normal
NORTHERN HEMISPHERE 80, 60, 40, 30 METERS-
East -> West To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
West -> East To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
North -> South To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
South -> North To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE 80, 60, 40, 30 METERS-
East -> West To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
West -> East To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
South -> North To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
North -> South To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
NORTHERN HEMISPHERE 20, 17, 15 METERS-
East -> West To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
West -> East To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
North -> South To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
South -> North To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE 20, 17, 15 METERS-
East -> West To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
West -> East To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
South -> North To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
North -> South To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
NORTHERN HEMISPHERE 12, 10 METERS-
East -> West To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
West -> East To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
North -> South To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
South -> North To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE 12, 10 METERS-
East -> West To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
West -> East To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
South -> North To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
North -> South To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
HF Propagation Forecast Scale-
Excellent S9+1 Or Better
Good S7-S9
Fair S4-S6
Poor S1-S3
None S0
From the Northern Hemisphere-
(TA) Trans Atlantic, (TI) Trans Indian, (TP) Trans Pacific and cross
Equatorial HF propagation conditions greater than 2000 mi/3200 km will be
FAIR TO GOOD on 80, 60, 40 and 30 meters, FAIR TO GOOD on 20, 17, 15 and
FAIR on 12 and 10 meters.
From the Southern Hemisphere-
(TA) Trans Atlantic, (TI) Trans Indian, (TP) Trans Pacific and cross
Equatorial HF propagation conditions greater than 2000 mi/3200 km will be
GOOD on 80, 60, 40 and 30 meters, GOOD on 20, 17, 15 and GOOD on 12 and 10
meters.
HF Propagation Forecast Scale-
Excellent S9+1 Or Better
Good S7-S9
Fair S4-S6
Poor S1-S3
None S0
GLOBAL 50-54 MC (6 Meters) PROPAGATION MODES EXPECTED FORECAST-
F2- None
Sporadic E (Es)- Yes
Aurora E High Latitude- Yes
Aurora E Mid Latitude- No
Troposphere Ducting- Yes
Trans Equatorial (TE) F2/F3- Yes
Meteor Scatter- YES, Eta Aquarids Peaking on May 05, 2012
Meter Band Equivalents
Ham SWL
160 90
80 75
60 60
40 49, 41
30 31, 25
20 22, 19
17 16, 15
15 13
12, 10 11
Standard Disclaimer-
Note! I use error prone RAW public domain data from the NOAA Space
Environment Center, as well as other U.S. government organizations, to
produce my propagation forecasts. This data is gathered and made public by
the U.S. Government using taxpayer $$$. However the propagation forecast
that I produce from the RAW public domain data is my personal intellectual
property. Therefore this propagation forecast contained herein is
copyrighted © 1988-2012 by Thomas F. Giella, NZ4O. Reproduction of and
distribution of the propagation forecast herein is allowed without advanced
permission as long as proper credit is given.
Also space weather forecasting is still an inexact science. The forecasts
are not official but for hobby related purposes only and are subject to
human error and acts of God, therefore no guarantee or warranty implied.
73 & GUD DX,
Thomas F. Giella, NZ4O
Lakeland, FL, USA
thomasfgiella@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
NZ4O MF/HF/6M (600-6 Meters) Radiowave Propagation Forecast:
http://www.solarcycle24.org
NZ4O Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive:
http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o1.htm
NZ4O Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Dashboard:
http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o2.htm
NZ4O Solar Cycle 24 Forecast Discussion & Archive:
http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o4.htm
NZ4O 160 Meter (MF) Radio Propagation Theory Notes:
http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o5.htm
NZ4O Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Raw Forecast Data Links:
http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o6.htm
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